6/2015
March
Weak and Strong cross-sectional dependence: a panel data analysis of international technology diffusion
 
Cem Ertur, Antonio Musolesi


This paper provides an econometric examination of geographic R&D spillovers among
countries by focusing on the issue of cross-sectional dependence, and in particular on the
di erent ways { weak and strong { it may a ect the model. A preliminary analysis based
on the estimation of the exponent of cross-sectional correlation proposed by Bailey et al.
(2013), a, provides a very clear-cut result with an estimate of a very close to unity, not only
indicating the presence of strong cross-sectional correlation but also being consistent with the
factor literature typically assuming that a = 1. Moreover, second generation unit roots tests
suggest that while the unobserved idiosyncratic component of the variables under study may
be stationary, the unobserved common factors appear to be nonstationary. Consequently,
a factor structure appears to be preferable to a spatial error model and in particular the
Correlated Common E ects approach is employed since, among other things, it is still valid
in the more general case of nonstationary common factors. Finally, comparing the results
with those obtained with a spatial model gives some insights on the possible bias occurring
when allowing only for weak correlation while strong correlation is present in the data.

 
Volume: 4
Lingua: en
Keywords: panel data; cross-sectional correlation; spatial models; factor models; unit root; international technology di usion; geography.
Classificazione JEL: C23; C5; F0; O3.
Pagine: 47
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